{"id":39942,"date":"2026-10-24T07:18:46","date_gmt":"2026-10-24T10:18:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wp.mundoebook.cl\/?post_type=product&#038;p=39942"},"modified":"2026-11-08T02:12:24","modified_gmt":"2026-11-08T05:12:24","slug":"el-cisne-negro","status":"publish","type":"product","link":"https:\/\/wp.mundoebook.cl\/?product=el-cisne-negro","title":{"rendered":"El cisne negro"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u00bfQu\u00e9 es un cisne negro? Para empezar, es un suceso improbable, sus consecuencias son importantes y todas las explicaciones que se puedan ofrecer \u00aba posteriori\u00bb no tienen en cuenta el azar y s\u00f3lo buscan encajar lo imprevisible en un modelo perfecto. El \u00e9xito de Google y YouTube, y hasta el 11-S, son \u00abcisnes negros\u00bb. Para Nassim Nicholas Taleb, los cisnes negros son parte integrante de nuestro mundo, desde el auge de las religiones hasta los acontecimientos de nuestra vida personal.\u00bfPor qu\u00e9 no podemos identificar este fen\u00f3meno hasta que ya ha sucedido? Seg\u00fan el autor, ello se debe a que los humanos nos empe\u00f1amos en investigar las cosas ya sabidas, olvid\u00e1ndonos de lo que desconocemos. Ello nos impide reconocer las oportunidades y nos hace demasiado vulnerables al impulso de simplificar, narrar y categorizar, olvid\u00e1ndonos de recompensar a quienes saben imaginar lo \u00abimposible\u00bb.Elegante, sorprendente y con reflexiones de alcance universal, \u00abEl cisne negro\u00bb transformar\u00e1 nuestra manera de mirar el mundo. Taleb es un escritor ameno, ingenioso e irreverente, con un profundo conocimiento de temas tan dispares como la ciencia cognitiva, el mundo de los negocios y la teor\u00eda de la probabilidad. De hecho, \u00abEl cisne negro\u00bb es un aut\u00e9ntico cisne negro en s\u00ed mismo.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nassim Nicholas Taleb<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":126859,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}}},"product_brand":[23],"product_cat":[5808,5807,5806,18179],"product_tag":[5924],"class_list":["post-39942","product","type-product","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","product_brand-epub-paradise","product_cat-ebooks","product_cat-epub","product_cat-espanol","product_cat-nassim-nicholas-taleb","product_tag-ciencias-exactas","desktop-align-center","tablet-align-left","mobile-align-center","first","instock","taxable","shipping-taxable","purchasable","product-type-variable"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - 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